Jumat, 30 September 2011

[N936.Ebook] PDF Ebook In All Likelihood: Statistical Modelling and Inference Using Likelihood, by Yudi Pawitan

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In All Likelihood: Statistical Modelling and Inference Using Likelihood, by Yudi Pawitan

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In All Likelihood: Statistical Modelling and Inference Using Likelihood, by Yudi Pawitan

Based on a course in the theory of statistics this text concentrates on what can be achieved using the likelihood/Fisherian method of taking account of uncertainty when studying a statistical problem. It takes the concept ot the likelihood as providing the best methods for unifying the demands of statistical modelling and the theory of inference. Every likelihood concept is illustrated by realistic examples, which are not compromised by computational problems. Examples range from a simile comparison of two accident rates, to complex studies that require generalised linear or semiparametric modelling.

The emphasis is that the likelihood is not simply a device to produce an estimate, but an important tool for modelling. The book generally takes an informal approach, where most important results are established using heuristic arguments and motivated with realistic examples. With the currently available computing power, examples are not contrived to allow a closed analytical solution, and the book can concentrate on the statistical aspects of the data modelling. In addition to classical likelihood theory, the book covers many modern topics such as generalized linear models and mixed models, non parametric smoothing, robustness, the EM algorithm and empirical likelihood.

  • Sales Rank: #113752 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-03-01
  • Released on: 2013-03-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 6.20" h x 1.20" w x 9.10" l, 1.80 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 544 pages

Review
"This is a splendid book with its contents thoroughly covering all likelihood ... Statements are firm, and explanations are full and clear. This book may be used as a reference work. It is strongly recommended as an academic library volume, and individually for statistics lecturers, advanced students, and researchers." --The Mathematical Gazette

"To those of us to whom it is a continuing irritation to be told that there are only two kinds of statisticians, freqentist and Bayesian, this book will come as an enormous relief ... a remarkable book, which deserves the widest distribution; I hope it will gain many converts to the likelihood school." --Biometrics

About the Author

Yudi Pawitan is a Professor in the Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Sweden

Most helpful customer reviews

47 of 48 people found the following review helpful.
Statistical Modelling and Inference for this Century
By Ingrid Baade
I used "In All Likelihood" as a basis for the 13 week 3rd year Mathematical Statistics/ Statistical Inference course I have almost finished teaching. Finding this book at Amazon was my very good fortune. It is exactly the way I would have tried to write such a course but I couldn't have done as good a job as Pawitan.
I like this book because it covers all the theory, such as, sufficiency, completeness, minimum variance unbiased estimation, large sample asymptotics etc. But the beauty of the book lies in the relevant, modern examples. Likelihood functions are liberally graphed for the many examples. These are created in R; if you are an R user, or wish to be, you'll like the availability of the source code. If you're not into R, it won't make a difference to the usability of the book.
Books like Bickel & Doksum, Casella & Berger and Rice, have the theory, but not the range of practical examples that add so much to "In All Likelihood". Pawitan's theoretical sections are comparatively easy to follow. Pawitan points out important results rather than the reader needing to surmise what bits of theory are useful in practice.
On the other hand, since reading Pawitan I can now read sections out of McCullough and Nelder, and other applications books, no longer feeling I have missed some important background theory.
I see signs of good teaching practice throughout "In All Likelihood" that make it easy to learn and teach from. For example, difficult concepts are often initially introduced in an example and then reintroduced in technical detail. This way the learner feels some familiarity the second time around.
Semester is nearly over. We covered the first nine chapters (out of 18) in 38 hours of lectures. I'm reading the rest of the book now. Every page or two something else I have heard, seen or read in the past begins to make more sense. Examples of topics in the second half of the book are the EM algorithm, Generalized Estimating Equations and random/mixed effects models. I told my students that if they considered buying a book for their future in statistics, "In All Likelihood" is a very good one.

10 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent book---well worth the money
By JVerkuilen
I first heard about this book in 2006 at the International Meeting of the Psychometric Society (in Montreal) from a colleague. I ordered it from Amazon the day I heard about it from one of the conference computers. It's great and I've found examples in it for teaching plus a lot of things that I simply didn't know, didn't remember, or didn't really understand the first time.

The examples make this book really useful compared to more technical texts like Bickel & Doksum or Lehmann. (These books are useful, of course, but not so much as texts for courses.) Pawitan's book has tons of really great little examples that bring the concepts down to earth for the reader. For instance, when he plots four score functions (normal, Poisson, binomial and Cauchy), you *see* immediately why estimation is more difficult in models such as the Cauchy compared to the normal. It also builds intuition about what the score function actually is. I have unpublished notes from John Marden (Statistics, UIUC), who was my statistical theory professor, which are very, very good. Pawitan's book is on par. The fact that the R code is available is fantastic.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Just a Great Book
By Dr. Charles Saunders
For a non-measure theoretic, applied stat text this is the best one you can buy - by far. Excellent examples (superb discussion of sufficiency and the invariance principle) and all the R Code. Great for self-study or the advanced undergrad/beginning grad classroom.

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Kamis, 29 September 2011

[M162.Ebook] PDF Download Classic Bob Dylan, 1962-1969: My back pages, by Andy Gill

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  • Sales Rank: #8988452 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Olms
  • Published on: 1998
  • Binding: Perfect Paperback
  • 144 pages
Features
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[P920.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Manufacturing Consent: The Political Economy of the Mass Media. Edward S. Herman and Noam Chomsky, by Edward S. Herman

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Manufacturing Consent: The Political Economy of the Mass Media. Edward S. Herman and Noam Chomsky, by Edward S. Herman

Contrary to the usual image of the press as cantankerous, obstinate, and ubiquitous in its search for truth, Edward Herman and Noam Chomsky depict how an underlying elite consensus largely structures all facets of the news. They skilfully dissect the way in which the marketplace and the economics of publishing significantly shape the news. They reveal how issues are framed and topics chosen, and contrast the double standards underlying accounts of free elections, a free press, and governmental repression between Nicaragua and El Salvador; between the Russian invasion of Afghanistan and the American invasion of Vietnam; between the genocide in Cambodia under a pro-American government and genocide under Pol Pot. What emerges from this groundbreaking work is an account of just how propagandistic our mass media are, and how we can learn to read them and see their function in a radically new way.

  • Sales Rank: #1852721 in Books
  • Brand: imusti
  • Published on: 1998-01-03
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.10" h x 5.00" w x 7.70" l, .66 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 432 pages
Features
  • VINTAGE

Amazon.com Review
An absolutely brilliant analysis of the ways in which individuals and organizations of the media are influenced to shape the social agendas of knowledge and, therefore, belief. Contrary to the popular conception of members of the press as hard-bitten realists doggedly pursuing unpopular truths, Herman and Chomsky prove conclusively that the free-market economics model of media leads inevitably to normative and narrow reporting. Whether or not you've seen the eye-opening movie, buy this book, and you will be a far more knowledgeable person and much less prone to having your beliefs manipulated as easily as the press.

From Publishers Weekly
Herman of Wharton and Chomsky of MIT lucidly document their argument that America's government and its corporate giants exercise control over what we read, see and hear. The authors identify the forces that they contend make the national media propagandisticthe major three being the motivation for profit through ad revenue, the media's close links to and often ownership by corporations, and their acceptance of information from biased sources. In five case studies, the writers show how TV, newspapers and radio distort world events. For example, the authors maintain that "it would have been very difficult for the Guatemalan government to murder tens of thousands over the past decade if the U.S. press had provided the kind of coverage they gave to the difficulties of Andrei Sakharov or the murder of Jerzy Popieluszko in Poland." Such allegations would be routine were it not for the excellent research behind this book's controversial charges. Extensive evidence is calmly presented, and in the end an indictment against the guardians of our freedoms is substantiated. A disturbing picture emerges of a news system that panders to the interests of America's privileged and neglects its duties when the concerns of minority groups and the underclass are at stake. First serial to the Progressive.
Copyright 1988 Reed Business Information, Inc.

Review
"[A] compelling indictment of the news media's role in covering up errors and deceptions in American foreign policy of the past quarter century."--Walter LaFeber, The New York Times Book Review

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
This book changed the way I see my country, ...
By Matthew M. Howell
This book changed the way I see my country, and its place in history. The specific information it gives about US involvement in S. America clarified events that had been on my radar, but that I had never taken the time to read about specifically.
The virtual side-by-side comparison of the media's treatment of the rape and murder of four US citizens working as nuns in the a US client state and the torture and murder of a Polish dissident priest is typical of the method by which they highlight how the media favors "worthy"victims, (coincidentally all murdered by regimes not friendly to us) and "unworthy" victims, sadly, unavoidably, somehow made victims of the disorder in our client states. Other examples include comparing media coverage of E. Timor to that of Kosovo, and how the media narratives and meta-narratives shifted over the course of US involvement in Vietnam and Cambodia.
That said, the book was a challenge to read. I find history and politics quite interesting, but the authors belabored their points (as an academic might, understandably, need to) far beyond the patience of a person reading the book in his spare time might be willing to tolerate. I eventually finished it, but just this once I'm excusing myself from the appendices. I feel the points they had to make were well made by page 70, and while it was all informative and solidly researched, I'm nearly giddy to close the cover on this one.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
A good look at media deception that gets worse and has hardly changed
By Amazon Customer
An excellent read. Noam is one of the few people that I have read that stands up for the rights of the individual and tries to shine a light on the skeletons in the closet. We need more people like this man and this book is not to be missed. He needs to be known more.

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Manufacturing the news...
By John P. Jones III
I once wrote an article which was eventually published in the local newspaper with the subject title. It concerned my interactions with NY Times columnist, Tom Friedman, and how the "balanced" statement which I have made to him was transformed, through his unique alchemy, into a very one-sided statement that fit his pre-conceived ideas, and was published in one of his columns to reinforce those ideas. Yes, I was "misquoted," in concept, if not in fact. But my interest in the subject of what becomes news, and what does not, predated the above interaction by many years. Regrettably, it was only recently when I purchased and read this book. The central theme is an examination of what and how the news in made, particularly in the United States, and just as importantly, what is omitted (left on the cutting room floor, as the movie industry has it.)

This book was first published in the late `80's, and this edition contains a 36 page introduction which was written in 2002. Herman and Chomsky are listed as co-authors, and I struggled with the question of which one wrote more of the book: I believe it was Edward Herman. The book has numerous strengths. Remember that it was written long before the era of the purported "fair and balanced" reporting of Fox News, and therefore addressing the truly "low-hanging fruit" of Fox's biased coverage is not included. Much of the book looks at what we refer to as our "newspaper of record," the New York Times. Their thesis is rather provocative: much of our "news" should be viewed as propaganda, just as we KNOW the "news" issued by various totalitarian regimes is propaganda. To test this thesis, they utilize a method that involves establishing what they call dichotomies: observe how a single event is reported in at least two disparate news sources, one usually outside the United States; the other is to observe the reporting on largely similar events, but one event occurs to a population deemed "hostile" to the United States, the other event occurs to a "friendly" nation. There is an entire chapter on "worthy" and "unworthy" victims.

The analysis is performed on events that occur in the `60's, `70's and `80's, and frankly some of the events had slipped off my "memory radar" (if it was ever there in the first place!); other events I intensely remember, in part, due to my personal participation. As one example that the authors examine in detail is the treatment of the murder of Jerzy Popieluszko, a Polish priest, and that is juxtaposed with the murder of Archbishop Romero, as well that of four American nuns in El Salvador. Replete with extensive tables that document the coverage, the murder of a Polish priest received many times more coverage, since it occurred in a country that America, at the time, viewed as "hostile," (since it was part of the Soviet bloc), whereas the murder, even of Americans, in an American client state was downplayed. Numerous other examples were also provided, including the shooting down of a civilian airliner by Israel, and how that was juxtaposed with the same incident done by the Soviet Union. Examination of the news from elections in Nicaragua (hostile) and Guatemala (friendly) were likewise compared. Another entire chapter involved the completion fabrication of a KGB-Bulgarian connection behind the attempted assassination of the Pope by a right-wing Turkish fanatic (I had completely forgotten about this incident... in terms of sheer fabrication, it is an important one to remember.)

The last third of the book, or so, detailed media coverage of the American wars in Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos. Most of the analysis I felt was correct, and corresponded to the recollections of my own participation. However there was one glaring mistake, on page 183, where the authors claimed: "From January 1965, the United States employed Korean mercenaries, some 300,000 in all, who carried out brutal atrocities in the South." (Note: throughout most of the war the Koreans only had one division of troops, some 7,000 or so, the ROK "Tiger" division. It operated in Binh Dinh province, where I was). Furthermore, for 20 pages or so, the author, or authors appeared to have a running feud with author William Shawcross, of Sideshow Kissinger, Nixon,and The Destruction of Cambodia and other books. After reading these pages, it was still unclear to me what the feud was all about; certainly, overall, they seemed to be making much the same points, and Shawcross's book on Cambodia remains an essential read on that war. I also thought comments about Senator Eugene McCarthy were somewhat churlish.

Overall, even with the passage of time (or perhaps because this book has withstood the passage of time, as is even more true today, in the era of Fox News), this is a very important read for one interested in the "food chain" of how we are fed the news. Please overlook some of the flaws. 4-stars.

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Senin, 26 September 2011

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Guardians of the Grail ....and the men who plan to rule the world!, by J. R. Church

The Grail Legend takes you back through the centuries to view an emerging family dynasty who may soon attempt to establish One-World goverment.

  • Sales Rank: #709893 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Prophecy Publications
  • Published on: 1989-09
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .83" h x 5.50" w x 8.06" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 318 pages
Features
  • Great product!

Most helpful customer reviews

34 of 37 people found the following review helpful.
A wake up call
By Kathleen Caldwell
I found "Guardians.." to be very fascinating and a must read for anyone who wants to protect their freedom. It is a stepping stone to understanding policies/procedures that affect our health, wealth and very lives today. These people are real and they are very busy behind the scenes and only a few committed crusaders are bold enough to give us the truth. It is well written, the research is sound and I couldn't put it down. I couldn't sleep either. Read it.

1 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Wrong book
By Leo RI
Unfortunately, the wrong book was sent to me and the one ordered was no longer available.... However, I was given a full refund including the shipping cost and told to keep the book sent by error.

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
A Reiteration of the Truth
By JM
One of my many favorite eschatological resources is found in Prophecy in the News led by J. R. Church and Gary Stearman. This book has become one of the addendums I utilize as a complimentary reference for the last days. Consequently, I gained awareness on the particular historical origins to present issues and conflicts and now understand how they have and will come in to play for prophecy fulfillment.

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Kamis, 22 September 2011

[Z509.Ebook] Ebook How to Break Free of the Drama Triangle & Victim Consciousness, by Janae B Weinhold PhD, Barry K Weinhold PhD

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How to Break Free of the Drama Triangle & Victim Consciousness, by Janae B Weinhold PhD, Barry K  Weinhold PhD

Recognizing the impact of Drama Triangle dynamics in your life may knock your socks off, or even turn your shoes around. After reading this book, we can guarantee that the way you see the world around you will never be the same.

You'll be able to spot the Drama Triangle everywhere -- in your friends' and family's high drama, in tv sitcoms and talk shows, movies, mainstream news, behind Washington's gridlock, at the chatter around the water cooler at work, and distorting your most intimate conversations (even those in the bedroom!).

That's because three out of every five social transactions contain Drama Triangle dynamics. No wonder it's a challenge to break free of Victim Consciousness!

Book Table of Contents:

PART ONE: WHAT IS THE DRAMA TRIANGLE AND VICTIM CONSCIOUSNESS?

Introduction

Chapter One: Our Personal Experiences With The Drama Triangle and Victim Consciousness

Chapter Two: The History of the Drama Triangle

Chapter Three: How The Drama Triangle Mind Game Works

Chapter Four: Developmental Causes of the Drama Triangle and Victim Consciousness

Chapter Five: Power and Powerless Issues

Chapter Six: The Internal Drama Triangle

Chapter Seven: Religious Beliefs That Trap Us In the Drama Triangle and Victim Consciousness

Chapter Eight: The Need/Obligate System and the Drama Triangle

PART TWO: HOW TO BREAK FREE OF THE DRAMA TRIANGLE AND VICTIM CONSCIOUSNESS

Chapter Nine: Steps In Breaking Free of The Drama Triangle

Chapter Ten: How To Recognize When You Are Projecting

Chapter Eleven: How To Heal Your Developmental Trauma

Chapter Twelve: How To Exit The Drama Triangle

Chapter Thirteen: The Functional Family Triangle

Chapter Fourteen: How To Take Charge of Your Life

  • Sales Rank: #82952 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-04-07
  • Released on: 2013-04-07
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

9 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Does the print book have as many mistakes?
By Homeschooling Mom of 4
I see where they had an editor, but the kindle edition, at least, has so many errors...there were sentences I read over and over and couldn't understand what they were trying to say.

That said, there are some great insights here. A lot of it is regurgitated from other sources, but this is a nice, succinct presentation of the ideas. Yes, the Religion chapter left much to be desired for those of us from a committedly spiritual background. But I was forewarned on this by other reviewers and basically just skipped that chapter.

Some of the vignettes and anecdotal examples at the beginning were disappointingly stereotypical and even confusing. It was almost like the authors weren't even sure themselves quite which points they were trying to make with the examples. Some good editorial feedback could have cleared that up significantly (I work as an editor and author, so I've seen that process solve these kinds of problems).

But still, even with all these marks against this book...I highlighted the crap out of it and actually read the whole thing instead of losing interest halfway through and forgetting I even had the book (which happens often).

Overall, the Drama Triangle is a pretty simple concept, so the length of the book is appropriate. What is so difficult about this kind of thing is walking out the process of getting free of this mess. And these authors do a great job of giving insights on how to do that and what to expect along the way.

One point I take issue with: getting family members to ask for what they want from you isn't the end-all/be-all of this recovery process. The authors placed a heavy emphasis on asking people what they want from you. Though I see their point, I have family members who will gladly tell me what they want from me...But then the fact they asked, in their minds, obligates me to do what they want, and then it's still "my fault" when their needs don't get met and they're not happy with their lives. I could use some additional insight on how to ask while still maintaining my freedom to choose if/when/how I meet their needs.

Having grown up in a severely dysfunctional family, more advice on how to set up healthy patterns with my kids would have been appreciated, but that probably requires a separate book anyway.
Overall, worth the price and the time.

9 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent and easy to read.
By Melanie Sittig
This book is a tremendous resource for Mental Health Professionals and others who want to understand the chaos and confusion in their families, workplace, in any relationship. Not only to understand what's happening, but how to stop the unhealthy interactions.
I am a mental health professional and I have owned a mental health clinic for over 10 years. This "Drama Triangle" and the victim consciousness that is an intricate dynamic in the drama, causes the majority of problems that I see in my clients. Yes, I said the majority of problems. I read this book in one sitting and immediately was able to put the "Break Free" component to therapeutic use that afternoon. I saw progress being made with those clients that day! I very highly recommend this book.

10 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Extremely Helpful..... Want Peace in Your Life?... Here it is.
By Drshannon
I loved this book. As a therapist...I find that the drama triangle and victim consciousness are two of the most self-destructive things I see in my clients. This book teaches you how to truly break FREE. ...to return to health and the essence of who you are and get out of old patterns that do not serve you. Thank you Barry and Janae for all your experience and wisdom. I recommend this book to my clients all the time in my private practice.
It is truly a gem....

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Sabtu, 10 September 2011

[N525.Ebook] Free Ebook Exploring Marine Biology: Laboratory and Field Exercises, by Paul A. Haefner

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Exploring Marine Biology: Laboratory and Field Exercises, by Paul A. Haefner

This book is the only manual of its kind with exercises that apply to the diverse marine habitats of North America. The manual meets the needs of any introductory marine biology student, from the non-major to the prospective major with a background in the biological sciences. Each unit includes a broad range of exercises, so that instructors using the manual can select the exercises that best match the needs of their introductory course. The manual is also unique in providing extensively illustrated identification keys for three of the major marine lifeforms, allowing students to identify and classify organisms within the invertebrates, plankton, and fishes.

  • Sales Rank: #1231071 in Books
  • Published on: 1996-05-05
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.20" h x .70" w x 10.40" l, 1.40 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 272 pages

Review
"Excellent, well written and illustrated. The accompanying forms very useful. Exercises are achievable."--Thomas R. Cuba, St. Leo University

"A good overview of marine biology...appropriate for a freshman-level course."--Sandra E. Shumway, Southampton College

About the Author
Paul A. Haefner is at Rochester Institute of Technology.

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Jumat, 09 September 2011

[A123.Ebook] Download On Top of the World: How the Finns Educate Their Children, by Maria Kouta

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On Top of the World: How the Finns Educate Their Children, by Maria Kouta

In many international studies, Finnish schoolchildren have scored high results in recent years. As a result, interest in the Finnish education system has increased enormously. What makes their school system so exceptional? What's a typical schoolday like in Finland?

The Finnish school system is built on a couple of founding ideals, and this concise book is for everyone who wants to find out how the Finnish school looks in a nutshell. It might not be possible to change an education system overnight, but any parent can learn a few tips from the practices of Finnish educators.

  • Sales Rank: #108583 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2012-12-29
  • Released on: 2012-12-29
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
A short and reasonable overview about education in Finland
By Dalton C. Rocha
Here in Brazil, I read this reasonable book about education in Finland. This Kindle's book has these main good things:
1- This book doen't talks useless things about Finnish education system .
2- As an overview about education in Finland, this book is reasonable. As the wikipedia writes and this book suports: "Education in Finland is a system with no tuition fees and with fully subsidised meals served to full-time students."
3- The chapters are very easy to understand.
Even so, this book has these main problems:
1- There's no photos or illustrations in this book. I bought and read the kindle ediction.
2- I wanted far more informations about Finnish education system, than the level of informations available, in this book.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Simple Review of the Finnish system written by a mom
By Just a Teacher
when I did my Masters in Spain we studied how the education in Finland was unique. We mainly focused on the attitude people have towards teachers as well as the training that teachers have.

Even with this background, I found the book interesting. I liked that it was written by a mother.

With the fame of the Finnish educational system, Maria is often asked about what makes the Fins so much better than everywhere else. She doesn’t claim to know everything, but in how in a quick 14 chapters she answers the question: what are the Finns doing in their school?

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
okay
By Kristin Hathhorn
This report is too brief/general to get any substantial information - unable to learn what education system in Finland is really like.

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